Where the market is wrong on Macara v Manta FC
Macara meet Manta FC in the Liga Pro regular season - 28 at Estadio Bellavista, Ambato.
Macara rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1400. Recent form leans Macara, 60% against 33%. Attacking output favors Macara on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.6 per match.
Macara arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Orense SC, L 0-1 @ Libertad, D 0-0 v Santos, D 1-1 v Universidad Catolica.
Manta FC are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Barcelona SC, L 1-5 @ Universidad Catolica, L 0-2 v Leones del Norte, W 2-1 @ Deportivo Cuenca.
Manta FC hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Manta FC 0-1 Macara.
The market prices MAC at 62% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 9.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
