Where the market is wrong on Leones del Norte v Orense SC
Leones del Norte meet Orense SC in the Liga Pro regular season - 28 at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra, Ibarra.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Leones del Norte, 55% against 38%. Attacking output favors Leones del Norte on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Leones del Norte arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Orense SC, L 1-2 @ Emelec, L 2-3 v Independiente del Valle, W 2-0 @ Manta FC.
Orense SC are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Leones del Norte, L 1-2 v Macara, L 0-3 @ Barcelona SC, W 2-0 v Deportivo Cuenca.
The market prices LEO at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on Orense SC: a 7.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
