Where the market is wrong on Deportivo Cuenca v Guayaquil City FC
Deportivo Cuenca meet Guayaquil City FC in the Liga Pro regular season - 28 at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Cuenca.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Guayaquil City FC, 50% against 40%. Attacking output favors Guayaquil City FC on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.7 per match.
Deportivo Cuenca arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 2 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Tecnico Universitario, D 0-0 v Mushuc Runa SC, L 0-2 @ Orense SC, L 1-2 v Manta FC.
Guayaquil City FC are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v LDU de Quito, W 3-2 @ Tecnico Universitario, D 2-2 v Libertad, D 0-0 v Emelec.
Deportivo Cuenca hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Guayaquil City FC 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca.
The market prices DEP at 54% implied. Our number sits apart on Guayaquil City FC: a 20.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
