Barcelona SC v Macara: the model read
Barcelona SC meet Macara in the Liga Pro regular season - 24 at Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha, Guayaquil. The model makes Macara the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 28% BAR, 32% draw, 41% MAC.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Macara, 63% against 45%. Attacking output favors Macara on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 40%, over 2.5 goals around 37%. Draw no bet leans Macara at 59%; double chance reads Barcelona SC or draw 59%, Macara or draw 72%.
Barcelona SC arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v LDU de Quito, L 1-2 @ Universidad Catolica, W 1-0 v Libertad, D 1-1 v Guayaquil City FC.
Macara are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Gualaceo SC, W 4-1 @ Aucas, W 3-0 v Deportivo Cuenca, L 1-2 @ Delfin SC.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
