Where the market is wrong on Prospect United v Hurstville FC
Prospect United meet Hurstville FC in the New South Wales NPL 2 regular season - 30.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 38%. Attacking output favors Hurstville FC on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 57%, over 2.5 goals around 54%. Draw no bet leans Prospect United at 52%; double chance reads Prospect United or draw 66%, Hurstville FC or draw 64%.
Prospect United arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Hurstville FC, L 1-5 @ Bankstown City Lions, W 3-0 @ Rydalmere Lions, D 1-1 v Mt Druitt Town.
Hurstville FC are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 3 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Prospect United, L 2-6 @ Blacktown Spartans, L 0-1 @ Central Coast II, L 0-2 @ Bankstown City Lions.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Prospect United 3-0 Hurstville FC.
The market prices PRO at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 7.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output