OLS v KPV-j

OLS meet KPV-j in the Ykkönen group stage at Raatin stadion, Oulu. The model makes OLS the most likely outcome at 56%, with the full read 56% OLS, 24% draw, 20% KPV.

OLS rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1541 to 1400. Recent form leans OLS, 55% against 25%. Attacking output favors OLS on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 65%, over 2.5 goals around 88%. Draw no bet leans OLS at 73%; double chance reads OLS or draw 80%, KPV-j or draw 44%.

OLS arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 9 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v KPV-j, D 1-1 @ PKKU, L 3-4 @ VJS, L 1-3 v Inter Turku II.

KPV-j are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ OLS, D 1-1 v Rops, L 1-3 v TPV, W 1-0 @ FC jazz.

OLS hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: OLS 2-1 KPV-j.

The market prices OLS at 79% implied. Our number sits apart on KPV-j: a 12.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.