Rops v JJK

Rops meet JJK in the Ykkönen group stage at Keskuskentta, Rovaniemi. The model makes Rops the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 43% ROP, 27% draw, 30% JJK.

The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Rops, 70% against 53%. Attacking output favors JJK on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 77%, over 2.5 goals around 83%. Draw no bet leans Rops at 59%; double chance reads Rops or draw 70%, JJK or draw 57%.

Rops arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v JJK, D 1-1 @ KPV-j, W 2-0 @ Inter Turku II, W 4-3 v PKKU.

JJK are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 16 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Rops, L 1-3 v FC jazz, D 4-4 v KuPS Akatemia, L 0-1 @ TPV.

JJK hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Rops 4-0 JJK.

The market prices ROP at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.