PKKU v VJS

PKKU meet VJS in the Ykkönen group stage at Kalevan Urheilupuisto, Kerava. The model makes VJS the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% PKK, 28% draw, 36% VJS.

The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 57%. Attacking output favors VJS on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 80%, over 2.5 goals around 83%. Draw no bet leans VJS at 50%; double chance reads PKKU or draw 64%, VJS or draw 64%.

PKKU arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ SalPa, L 1-3 v VJS, D 1-1 v OLS, W 2-1 v FC jazz.

VJS are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 11 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ KuPS Akatemia, W 3-1 @ PKKU, L 0-1 v Tampere United, W 4-3 v OLS.

VJS hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: PKKU 1-3 VJS.

The market prices PKK at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.