Mafra v CF Os Belenenses: the model read
Mafra meet CF Os Belenenses in the Liga 3 promotion group - 7 at Estadio Municipal de Mafra, Mafra. The model makes CF Os Belenenses the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 32% MAF, 30% draw, 37% CF .
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1516, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 53%. Attacking output favors CF Os Belenenses on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 57%, over 2.5 goals around 55%. Draw no bet leans CF Os Belenenses at 54%; double chance reads Mafra or draw 63%, CF Os Belenenses or draw 68%.
Mafra arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Alverca, L 2-3 @ FC Fredericia, W 2-0 @ Esbjerg, L 1-3 @ CF Os Belenenses.
CF Os Belenenses are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Benfica, L 1-2 @ Alverca, D 0-0 v Farense, L 0-1 @ Farense.
CF Os Belenenses hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: CF Os Belenenses 3-1 Mafra.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
