Völsungur v Grindavik

Völsungur meet Grindavik in the 1. Deild regular season - 15. The model makes Grindavik the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 29% VÖL, 30% draw, 41% GRI.

The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Grindavik, 43% against 26%. Attacking output favors Völsungur on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.0 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 55%. Draw no bet leans Grindavik at 58%; double chance reads Völsungur or draw 59%, Grindavik or draw 71%.

Völsungur arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Grindavik, L 0-1 @ Throttur Reykjavik, L 1-6 v Afturelding, D 3-3 @ Leiknir R..

Grindavik are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Völsungur, D 0-0 v IR Reykjavik, W 2-1 @ Grotta, L 4-5 @ Njardvik.

Völsungur hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Völsungur 2-0 Grindavik.

The market prices VÖL at 30% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.