Where the market is wrong on Crown Legacy v Chicago Fire II
Crown Legacy meet Chicago Fire II in the MLS Next Pro group stage at Sportsplex at Matthews, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 53%. Attacking output favors Chicago Fire II on expected goals, 2.3 to 2.0 per match.
Crown Legacy arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Chicago Fire II, L 2-3 @ Orlando City II, W 3-1 v Chattanooga, L 0-2 v Connecticut FC.
Chicago Fire II are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Crown Legacy, L 0-4 @ Columbus Crew II, W 3-1 v Inter Miami II, L 1-2 @ Atlanta United II.
Crown Legacy hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Crown Legacy 4-0 Chicago Fire II.
The market prices CRO at 50% implied. Our number sits apart on Chicago Fire II: a 6.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
