Where the market is wrong on Colorado Rapids II v Real Monarchs
Colorado Rapids II meet Real Monarchs in the MLS Next Pro group stage at CIBER Field, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 30% against 30%. Attacking output favors Real Monarchs on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 57%, over 2.5 goals around 54%. Draw no bet leans Colorado Rapids II at 51%; double chance reads Colorado Rapids II or draw 66%, Real Monarchs or draw 64%.
Colorado Rapids II arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Real Monarchs, D 2-2 @ Sporting KC II, D 0-0 v St. Louis City II, L 0-3 @ Los Angeles FC II.
Real Monarchs are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 3 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Colorado Rapids II, L 0-3 @ Houston Dynamo FC II, L 0-3 @ St. Louis City II, L 0-1 @ Portland Timbers II.
Colorado Rapids II hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Colorado Rapids II 4-1 Real Monarchs.
The market prices COL at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
