Sporting Cristal v ADT: the model read
Sporting Cristal meet ADT in the Primera División apertura - 16 at Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima. The model makes ADT the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 31% SPO, 30% draw, 38% ADT.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 45%. Attacking output favors ADT on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 50%. Draw no bet leans ADT at 55%; double chance reads Sporting Cristal or draw 62%, ADT or draw 69%.
Sporting Cristal arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ RB Bragantino, L 1-2 @ FBC Melgar, D 0-0 v RB Bragantino, W 1-0 v Deportivo Garcilaso.
ADT are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Sport Boys, L 1-2 v Universitario, W 3-2 @ Cienciano, L 0-1 @ Sport Huancayo.
Sporting Cristal hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sporting Cristal 2-1 ADT.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
