Orsomarso v Envigado: the model read
Orsomarso meet Envigado in the Primera B apertura - 7 at Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata, Barrancabermeja. The model makes Envigado the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 26% ORS, 32% draw, 42% ENV.
Envigado rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1420. Recent form leans Envigado, 65% against 40%. Attacking output favors Envigado on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 32%, over 2.5 goals around 31%. Draw no bet leans Envigado at 62%; double chance reads Orsomarso or draw 58%, Envigado or draw 74%.
Orsomarso arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Fortaleza FC, D 1-1 v Independiente Medellin, L 0-2 @ Leones FC, D 1-1 v Cucuta.
Envigado are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Once Caldas, D 1-1 v Real Cartagena, W 3-2 @ Real Cartagena, W 1-0 v Quindio.
Envigado hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Orsomarso 0-1 Envigado.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
