Where the market is wrong on Curico Unido v Union San Felipe
Curico Unido meet Union San Felipe in the Primera B regular season - 22 at Estadio Bicentenario La Granja, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1504 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Curico Unido, 53% against 37%. Attacking output favors Curico Unido on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 35%, over 2.5 goals around 32%. Draw no bet leans Curico Unido at 60%; double chance reads Curico Unido or draw 73%, Union San Felipe or draw 60%.
Curico Unido arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Union San Felipe, L 0-4 @ Deportes Copiapo, L 1-2 v Deportes Santa Cruz, D 0-0 @ Rangers de Talca.
Union San Felipe are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 1 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Deportes Santa Cruz, L 0-2 @ Curico Unido, L 0-1 v Cobreloa, W 1-0 @ San Marcos de Arica.
Curico Unido hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Curico Unido 2-0 Union San Felipe.
The market prices CUR at 49% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
