Cobreloa v Deportes Santa Cruz

Cobreloa meet Deportes Santa Cruz in the Primera B regular season - 17 at Estadio Zorros del Desierto, Calama. The model makes Cobreloa the most likely outcome at 49%, with the full read 49% COB, 27% draw, 24% DEP.

Cobreloa rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1625 to 1407. Recent form leans Cobreloa, 68% against 37%. Attacking output favors Cobreloa on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 60%, over 2.5 goals around 74%. Draw no bet leans Cobreloa at 67%; double chance reads Cobreloa or draw 76%, Deportes Santa Cruz or draw 51%.

Cobreloa arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 v Deportes Santa Cruz, W 1-0 v D. La Serena, D 2-2 @ Cobresal, L 1-2 @ D. La Serena.

Deportes Santa Cruz are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ Cobreloa, L 2-3 @ Palestino, W 2-1 v A. Italiano, D 0-0 v Palestino.

Cobreloa hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cobreloa 4-2 Deportes Santa Cruz.

The market prices COB at 58% implied. Our number sits apart on Deportes Santa Cruz: a 6.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.