Where the market is wrong on Nosaby v Staffanstorp United
Nosaby meet Staffanstorp United in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland södra götaland - 23.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Nosaby, 55% against 43%. Attacking output favors Nosaby on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.
Nosaby arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Staffanstorp United, D 0-0 @ Växjö Norra, L 1-3 v Berga, W 2-1 @ Oskarshamns AIK.
Staffanstorp United are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Nosaby, D 2-2 v Österlen, W 2-0 @ Linero, L 0-2 v Karlskrona.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Nosaby 3-0 Staffanstorp United.
The market prices NOS at 49% implied. Our number sits apart on Staffanstorp United: a 6.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output