Where the market is wrong on Herrestads v Kumla
Herrestads meet Kumla in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland norra götaland - 22.
Herrestads rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1546 to 1408. Recent form leans Herrestads, 57% against 38%. Attacking output favors Herrestads on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.8 per match.
Herrestads arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Lidköping, D 2-2 v IF Karlstad II, W 1-0 @ Stenungsund, W 3-0 v Vänersborgs IF.
Kumla are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 3 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Motala, D 0-0 v IFK Skövde, L 1-7 @ Ahlafors, L 2-6 v Husqvarna.
Herrestads hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kumla 1-2 Herrestads.
The market prices HER at 52% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output