Where the market is wrong on Gagra v FC Iberia 1999
Gagra meet FC Iberia 1999 in the Erovnuli Liga regular season - 23 at David Petriashvili Stadium, Tbilisi.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 48%. Attacking output favors Gagra on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.3 per match.
Gagra arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v FC Iberia 1999, D 0-0 v Aragvi Dusheti, L 0-3 @ Rustavi, D 1-1 v Spaeri.
FC Iberia 1999 are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 6 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Gagra, L 1-2 v Jagiellonia, L 0-4 @ Jagiellonia, L 3-4 @ Torpedo Kutaisi.
FC Iberia 1999 hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Gagra 2-0 FC Iberia 1999.
The market prices GAG at 27% implied. Our number sits apart on Gagra: a 11.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 80 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
