Bourj v Al Mabarrah: the model read
Bourj meet Al Mabarrah in the Cup round of 16. The model makes Bourj the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 39% BOU, 32% draw, 29% AL .
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 43%. Attacking output favors Bourj on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 39%, over 2.5 goals around 34%. Draw no bet leans Bourj at 57%; double chance reads Bourj or draw 71%, Al Mabarrah or draw 61%.
Bourj arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Al Ansar, L 1-4 v Al Ahed, W 1-0 v Reyady Abaseya, W 2-1 v Racing.
Al Mabarrah are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 3 scored and 21 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Safa, L 0-7 v Al Ansar, L 2-4 @ Al Hikma, L 0-5 @ Al Nejmeh.
Al Mabarrah hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Bourj 0-3 Al Mabarrah.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
