Where the market is wrong on Coquimbo Unido v U. Catolica
Coquimbo Unido meet U. Catolica in the Primera División regular season - 19 at Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso, Coquimbo.
U. Catolica rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1516. Recent form leans U. Catolica, 70% against 55%. Attacking output favors U. Catolica on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 44%. Draw no bet leans U. Catolica at 56%; double chance reads Coquimbo Unido or draw 62%, U. Catolica or draw 69%.
Coquimbo Unido arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v U. Catolica, D 1-1 @ Concepción, D 0-0 v Platense, D 1-1 @ Platense.
U. Catolica are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Coquimbo Unido, L 1-2 v Nublense, L 0-3 v Estudiantes L.P., D 1-1 @ Estudiantes L.P..
Coquimbo Unido hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Coquimbo Unido 1-2 U. Catolica.
The market prices COQ at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on U. Catolica: a 9.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 75 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
