Deportes Limache v Nublense

Deportes Limache meet Nublense in the Primera División regular season - 17 at Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, Limache. The model makes Nublense the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 30% DEP, 29% draw, 41% NUB.

Nublense rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1431. Recent form leans Nublense, 65% against 40%. Attacking output favors Deportes Limache on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 60%, over 2.5 goals around 61%. Draw no bet leans Nublense at 58%; double chance reads Deportes Limache or draw 59%, Nublense or draw 70%.

Deportes Limache arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Colo Colo, W 4-1 v San Marcos de Arica, D 1-1 v Coquimbo Unido, L 1-4 v Deportes Iquique.

Nublense are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Palestino, L 0-1 @ O'Higgins, W 2-1 v O'Higgins, D 2-2 v Curico Unido.

Nublense hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Nublense 1-1 Deportes Limache.

The market prices DEP at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on Nublense: a 12.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.