Huachipato v Cobresal

Huachipato meet Cobresal in the Primera División regular season - 16 at Estadio Huachipato, Talcahuano. The model makes Huachipato the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 47% HUA, 29% draw, 24% COB.

The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Huachipato, 50% against 18%. Attacking output favors Huachipato on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 56%. Draw no bet leans Huachipato at 66%; double chance reads Huachipato or draw 76%, Cobresal or draw 53%.

Huachipato arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v Cobresal, W 1-0 @ Deportes Temuco, L 1-2 @ D. Puerto Montt, L 1-2 v Concepción.

Cobresal are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ Huachipato, L 0-1 @ Antofagasta, D 2-2 v Cobreloa, L 0-1 v D. La Serena.

Cobresal hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Huachipato 3-3 Cobresal.

The market prices HUA at 59% implied. Our number sits apart on Cobresal: a 6.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.