Shimizu S-pulse v Fagiano Okayama: the model read
Shimizu S-pulse meet Fagiano Okayama in the J1 League regular season - 6 at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka. The model makes Shimizu S-pulse the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% SHI, 31% draw, 32% FAG.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 45%. Attacking output favors Fagiano Okayama on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 54%, over 2.5 goals around 50%. Draw no bet leans Shimizu S-pulse at 53%; double chance reads Shimizu S-pulse or draw 68%, Fagiano Okayama or draw 63%.
Shimizu S-pulse arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Karlsruher SC, W 3-1 @ Polessya, L 0-3 @ Yokohama F. Marinos, D 1-1 v Yokohama F. Marinos.
Fagiano Okayama are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ FC Schalke 04, L 0-2 @ Werder Bremen, W 2-1 @ Metalist 1925 Kharkiv, L 1-3 @ SC Paderborn 07.
Shimizu S-pulse hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Fagiano Okayama 2-0 Shimizu S-pulse.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
