Nagoya Grampus v Shimizu S-pulse: the model read
Nagoya Grampus meet Shimizu S-pulse in the J1 League regular season - 1 at Toyota Stadium, Toyota City. The model makes Shimizu S-pulse the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 35% NAG, 30% draw, 36% SHI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 50%. Attacking output favors Nagoya Grampus on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 63%, over 2.5 goals around 62%. Draw no bet leans Shimizu S-pulse at 51%; double chance reads Nagoya Grampus or draw 64%, Shimizu S-pulse or draw 65%.
Nagoya Grampus arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Consadole Sapporo, L 1-2 @ FC Tokyo, L 1-2 @ Machida Zelvia, D 2-2 v Machida Zelvia.
Shimizu S-pulse are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Karlsruher SC, W 3-1 @ Polessya, L 0-3 @ Yokohama F. Marinos, D 1-1 v Yokohama F. Marinos.
Nagoya Grampus hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Shimizu S-pulse 0-2 Nagoya Grampus.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
