Argentino Quilmes v Villa Dalmine

Argentino Quilmes meet Villa Dalmine in the Primera B Metropolitana regular season - 27 at Barranca Quilmena stadium, Quilmes. The model makes Villa Dalmine the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 26% ARG, 36% draw, 38% VIL.

The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Villa Dalmine, 65% against 50%. Attacking output favors Villa Dalmine on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 20%, over 2.5 goals around 15%. Draw no bet leans Villa Dalmine at 60%; double chance reads Argentino Quilmes or draw 62%, Villa Dalmine or draw 74%.

Argentino Quilmes arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 1 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Villa Dalmine, D 0-0 @ Excursionistas, W 1-0 v Arsenal Sarandi, L 0-3 @ Argentino de Merlo.

Villa Dalmine are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 4 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Argentino Quilmes, D 0-0 v Defensores Unidos, D 0-0 @ Comunicaciones, W 2-1 v Dock Sud.

The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Argentino Quilmes 0-0 Villa Dalmine.

The market prices ARG at 30% implied. Our number sits apart on Villa Dalmine: a 3.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.