Where the market is wrong on Racing Cordoba v San Telmo
Racing Cordoba meet San Telmo in the Primera Nacional regular season - 22 at Estadio Miguel Sancho, Cordoba. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 34% RAC, 35% draw, 31% SAN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 39%. Attacking output favors Racing Cordoba on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 26%, over 2.5 goals around 17%. Draw no bet leans Racing Cordoba at 52%; double chance reads Racing Cordoba or draw 69%, San Telmo or draw 66%.
Racing Cordoba arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v San Telmo, L 0-1 @ Atletico Mitre, W 3-2 v Acassuso, D 1-1 @ CA Estudiantes.
San Telmo are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Racing Cordoba, L 1-3 v Chaco For Ever, L 1-2 @ Ferro Carril Oeste, W 2-0 v Racing Cordoba.
The market prices RAC at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on San Telmo: a 12.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 63 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
