Where the market is wrong on Varbergs BoIS FC v IK brage
Varbergs BoIS FC meet IK brage in the Superettan regular season - 25 at Påskbergsvallen, Varberg.
Varbergs BoIS FC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1400. Recent form leans Varbergs BoIS FC, 65% against 29%. Attacking output favors Varbergs BoIS FC on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Varbergs BoIS FC arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Norrby IF, L 0-2 v IFK Norrkoping, D 1-1 @ IFK Varnamo, W 3-1 v Oddevold.
IK brage are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Sandviken, D 1-1 @ Ostersunds FK, L 0-1 v GIF Sundsvall, L 1-4 @ Falkenbergs FF.
IK brage hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: IK brage 2-2 Varbergs BoIS FC.
The market prices VAR at 57% implied. Our number sits apart on IK brage: a 3.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
