Where the market is wrong on Ostersunds FK v Osters IF
Ostersunds FK meet Osters IF in the Superettan regular season - 17 at Jamtkraft Arena, Ostersund. The model makes Osters IF the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 34% OST, 29% draw, 37% OST.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 55%. Attacking output favors Osters IF on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 68%, over 2.5 goals around 68%. Draw no bet leans Osters IF at 52%; double chance reads Ostersunds FK or draw 63%, Osters IF or draw 66%.
Ostersunds FK arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Norrby IF, W 2-0 v Landskrona BoIS, L 2-4 v Orebro SK, W 2-0 @ GIF Sundsvall.
Osters IF are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Varbergs BoIS FC, W 3-2 v IK brage, L 0-3 v Lyngby, L 1-2 @ Varbergs BoIS FC.
Osters IF hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Osters IF 1-0 Ostersunds FK.
The market prices OST at 46% implied. Our number sits apart on Osters IF: a 9.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 74 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
