Norrby IF v Ostersunds FK: the model read
Norrby IF meet Ostersunds FK in the Superettan regular season - 16 at Borås Arena, Boras. The model makes Ostersunds FK the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 34% NOR, 30% draw, 36% OST.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 50%. Attacking output favors Norrby IF on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 63%, over 2.5 goals around 61%. Draw no bet leans Ostersunds FK at 51%; double chance reads Norrby IF or draw 64%, Ostersunds FK or draw 66%.
Norrby IF arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Ostersunds FK, W 3-1 v GIF Sundsvall, L 2-4 @ Varbergs BoIS FC, W 1-0 @ IFK Norrkoping.
Ostersunds FK are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Norrby IF, W 2-0 v Landskrona BoIS, L 2-4 v Orebro SK, W 2-0 @ GIF Sundsvall.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Norrby IF 2-2 Ostersunds FK.
The market prices NOR at 33% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 1.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
