Where the market is wrong on Gneist v Djerv
Gneist meet Djerv in the 3. Division - Girone 3 regular season - 22.
Djerv rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1400. Recent form leans Djerv, 78% against 28%. Attacking output favors Djerv on expected goals, 2.8 to 1.6 per match.
Gneist arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 v Djerv, L 0-1 @ Austevoll, D 2-2 v Varegg, W 2-1 @ Fyllingsdalen.
Djerv are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 16 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 @ Gneist, W 2-1 v Sogndal II, W 4-3 @ Stord, W 5-2 v Austevoll.
Djerv hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Gneist 0-5 Djerv.
The market prices GNE at 19% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output