Ullern v Heming

Ullern meet Heming in the 3. Division - Girone 1 regular season - 13. The model makes Heming the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 28% ULL, 26% draw, 45% HEM.

Heming rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1563 to 1431. Recent form leans Heming, 56% against 38%. Attacking output favors Heming on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 81%, over 2.5 goals around 89%. Draw no bet leans Heming at 62%; double chance reads Ullern or draw 55%, Heming or draw 72%.

Ullern arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 10 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Heming, L 2-3 @ Asker, L 2-3 v KFUM II, W 3-2 @ Gamle Oslo.

Heming are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Ullern, D 2-2 @ KFUM II, W 1-0 v Gamle Oslo, L 1-4 @ Frigg.

Heming hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ullern 1-3 Heming.

The market prices ULL at 31% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.