Where the market is wrong on Trygg/Lade v Eidsvold
Trygg/Lade meet Eidsvold in the 2. Division - Group 2 regular season - 13 at Koteng Arena, Trondheim. The model makes Eidsvold the most likely outcome at 56%, with the full read 20% TRY, 24% draw, 56% EID.
Eidsvold rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1400. Recent form leans Eidsvold, 70% against 26%. Attacking output favors Eidsvold on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 61%, over 2.5 goals around 87%. Draw no bet leans Eidsvold at 74%; double chance reads Trygg/Lade or draw 44%, Eidsvold or draw 80%.
Trygg/Lade arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 5 scored and 17 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Eidsvold, L 1-7 @ Skeid, L 1-4 v Lørenskog, L 1-2 @ Stjørdals-Blink.
Eidsvold are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Trygg/Lade, W 2-1 v Tromsdalen Uil, L 1-2 @ Hønefoss, L 1-3 v Levanger.
Eidsvold hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Trygg/Lade 1-2 Eidsvold.
The market prices TRY at 16% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
