Where the market is wrong on Tromsdalen Uil v Follo
Tromsdalen Uil meet Follo in the 2. Division - Group 2 regular season - 13 at TUIL arena, undefined. The model makes Tromsdalen Uil the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 44% TRO, 28% draw, 28% FOL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Tromsdalen Uil, 40% against 23%. Attacking output favors Tromsdalen Uil on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 69%, over 2.5 goals around 76%. Draw no bet leans Tromsdalen Uil at 61%; double chance reads Tromsdalen Uil or draw 72%, Follo or draw 56%.
Tromsdalen Uil arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Follo, L 1-2 @ Eidsvold, L 2-4 v Stjørdals-Blink, L 0-6 @ Lørenskog.
Follo are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 2 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Tromsdalen Uil, L 0-2 v Levanger, L 1-4 v Kjelsås, L 1-2 v Ull/Kisa.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tromsdalen Uil 0-0 Follo.
The market prices TRO at 68% implied. Our number sits apart on Follo: a 14.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
