Where the market is wrong on Junkeren v Lørenskog
Junkeren meet Lørenskog in the 2. Division - Group 2 regular season - 13 at Nordlandshallen, Bodo. The model makes Lørenskog the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 35% JUN, 28% draw, 37% LØR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1598 to 1589, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 61% against 61%. Attacking output favors Junkeren on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 78%, over 2.5 goals around 80%. Draw no bet leans Lørenskog at 52%; double chance reads Junkeren or draw 63%, Lørenskog or draw 65%.
Junkeren arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Lørenskog, D 1-1 @ Stjørdals-Blink, L 0-3 @ Grorud, W 4-3 v Hønefoss.
Lørenskog are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Junkeren, W 1-0 v Grorud, W 4-1 @ Trygg/Lade, W 6-0 v Tromsdalen Uil.
Junkeren hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Junkeren 1-0 Lørenskog.
The market prices JUN at 22% implied. Our number sits apart on Junkeren: a 12.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
