Where the market is wrong on Grorud v Stjørdals-Blink
Grorud meet Stjørdals-Blink in the 2. Division - Group 2 regular season - 13 at Grorud Matchbane, Oslo. The model makes Stjørdals-Blink the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 35% GRO, 29% draw, 36% STJ.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 53%. Attacking output favors Stjørdals-Blink on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 67%, over 2.5 goals around 67%. Draw no bet leans Stjørdals-Blink at 50%; double chance reads Grorud or draw 64%, Stjørdals-Blink or draw 65%.
Grorud arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Stjørdals-Blink, L 0-1 @ Lørenskog, W 3-0 v Junkeren, L 1-2 @ Ull/Kisa.
Stjørdals-Blink are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Grorud, D 1-1 v Junkeren, W 4-2 @ Tromsdalen Uil, W 2-1 v Trygg/Lade.
Stjørdals-Blink hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Grorud 0-1 Stjørdals-Blink.
The market prices GRO at 58% implied. Our number sits apart on Stjørdals-Blink: a 15.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
