Botev Vratsa v Arda Kardzhali: the model read
Botev Vratsa meet Arda Kardzhali in the Cup quarter-finals at Hristo Botev Stadium, Vraca. The model makes Botev Vratsa the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% BOT, 32% draw, 31% ARD.
The baseline ratings are close, 1601 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Botev Vratsa, 66% against 55%. Attacking output favors Botev Vratsa on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 41%, over 2.5 goals around 35%. Draw no bet leans Botev Vratsa at 54%; double chance reads Botev Vratsa or draw 69%, Arda Kardzhali or draw 63%.
Botev Vratsa arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ CSKA 1948, D 1-1 v Cherno More Varna, W 1-0 v Arda Kardzhali, D 2-2 v Beitar Jerusalem.
Arda Kardzhali are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Slavia Sofia, D 1-1 @ Septemvri Sofia, L 0-1 @ Botev Vratsa, D 0-0 v Beitar Jerusalem.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Botev Vratsa 1-0 Arda Kardzhali.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
