Where the market is wrong on Kalmar FF v Djurgardens IF
Kalmar FF meet Djurgardens IF in the Allsvenskan regular season - 20.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Djurgardens IF, 63% against 50%. Attacking output favors Djurgardens IF on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.5 per match.
Kalmar FF arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Halmstad, D 0-0 @ Vasteras SK FK, W 7-0 @ Angelholms FF, L 0-4 v Hammarby FF.
Djurgardens IF are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 14 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Mjallby AIF, W 3-0 @ Malmo FF, L 1-3 v AIK Stockholm, L 0-1 @ Vasteras SK FK.
The market prices KAL at 23% implied. Our number sits apart on Kalmar FF: a 5.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
