Dundalk v St Patrick's Athl.: the model read
Dundalk meet St Patrick's Athl. in the Premier Division regular season - 30 at Oriel Park, Dundalk. The model makes St Patrick's Athl. the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 32% DUN, 30% draw, 39% ST .
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 57%. Attacking output favors St Patrick's Athl. on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 58%, over 2.5 goals around 56%. Draw no bet leans St Patrick's Athl. at 55%; double chance reads Dundalk or draw 61%, St Patrick's Athl. or draw 68%.
Dundalk arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ St Patrick's Athl., W 3-1 @ St Mochta's, L 1-2 v Drogheda United, L 1-2 @ Shelbourne.
St Patrick's Athl. are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Dundalk, W 2-1 v Wexford, L 2-4 @ Doncaster, D 1-1 @ Waterford.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
