Where the market is wrong on Philadelphia Union v CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union meet CF Montreal in the Major League Soccer regular season - 23 at Subaru Park, Philadelphia.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 50%. Attacking output favors Philadelphia Union on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.6 per match.
Philadelphia Union arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ New York Red Bulls, D 1-1 @ Austin, D 2-2 v Inter Miami, W 3-2 @ New York City FC.
CF Montreal are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-7 @ Inter Miami, D 2-2 v Los Angeles Galaxy, W 2-1 @ Columbus Crew, D 1-1 v DC United.
Philadelphia Union hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: CF Montreal 1-2 Philadelphia Union.
The market prices PHI at 62% implied. Our number sits apart on CF Montreal: a 17.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
