Where the market is wrong on DC United v Los Angeles FC
DC United meet Los Angeles FC in the Major League Soccer regular season - 22 at Audi Field, Washington.
The baseline ratings are close, 1432 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Los Angeles FC, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Los Angeles FC on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
DC United arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Los Angeles FC, L 1-3 @ Charlotte, L 0-3 v New England Revolution, D 1-1 @ CF Montreal.
Los Angeles FC are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ DC United, D 1-1 v Portland Timbers, L 0-1 @ Colorado Rapids, L 0-1 v San Diego.
Los Angeles FC hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: DC United 0-0 Los Angeles FC.
The market prices DC at 25% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
