Uruguay v Spain: the model read
Uruguay meet Spain in the World Cup group stage - 3 at Estadio Akron, Zapopan.
Spain rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1758 to 1477. Recent form leans Spain, 87% against 50%. Attacking output favors Spain on expected goals, 2.3 to 0.8 per match.
Uruguay arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Spain, D 2-2 v Cape Verde Islands, D 1-1 @ Saudi Arabia, D 0-0 @ Algeria.
Spain are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 9 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Argentina, W 2-0 @ France, W 2-1 v Belgium, W 1-0 @ Portugal.
Spain hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Uruguay 0-1 Spain.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
