Portugal v Uzbekistan: the model read
Portugal meet Uzbekistan in the World Cup group stage - 2 at NRG Stadium, Houston.
The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Portugal, 70% against 55%. Attacking output favors Portugal on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.5 per match.
Portugal arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Spain, W 2-1 v Croatia, D 0-0 @ Colombia, W 5-0 v Uzbekistan.
Uzbekistan are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 3 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Congo DR, L 0-5 @ Portugal, L 1-3 v Colombia, L 1-2 @ Netherlands.
Portugal hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Portugal 5-0 Uzbekistan.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
