France 
SenegalFrance v Senegal: the model read
France meet Senegal in the World Cup group stage - 1 at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford.
The baseline ratings are close, 1719 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans France, 78% against 68%. Attacking output favors Senegal on expected goals, 2.6 to 2.5 per match.
France arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 4-6 v England, L 0-2 v Spain, W 2-0 v Morocco, W 1-0 @ Paraguay.
Senegal are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Belgium, W 5-0 v Iraq, L 2-3 @ Norway, L 1-3 @ France.
France hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: France 3-1 Senegal.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
