Al Ahly v Zamalek SC: the model read
Al Ahly meet Zamalek SC in the Super Cup final at Mohammed Bin Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 32% AL , 35% draw, 33% ZAM.
The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1673, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 65% against 73%. Attacking output favors Al Ahly on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 25%, over 2.5 goals around 16%. Draw no bet leans Zamalek SC at 51%; double chance reads Al Ahly or draw 67%, Zamalek SC or draw 68%.
Al Ahly arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ AL Masry, W 3-0 v Enppi, W 3-0 @ Zamalek SC, L 0-3 @ Pyramids FC.
Zamalek SC are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Ceramica Cleopatra, W 1-0 v USM Alger, L 0-1 @ USM Alger, W 1-0 @ Smouha SC.
Al Ahly hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Zamalek SC 0-3 Al Ahly.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
