Mohammedan Dhaka v Arambagh: the model read
Mohammedan Dhaka meet Arambagh in the Federation Cup round - 5 at Rafiq Uddin Bhuiyan Stadium, Mymensingh. The model makes Mohammedan Dhaka the most likely outcome at 58%, with the full read 58% MOH, 26% draw, 16% ARA.
Mohammedan Dhaka rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1535 to 1400. Recent form leans Mohammedan Dhaka, 55% against 25%. Attacking output favors Mohammedan Dhaka on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 26%, over 2.5 goals around 59%. Draw no bet leans Mohammedan Dhaka at 78%; double chance reads Mohammedan Dhaka or draw 84%, Arambagh or draw 42%.
Mohammedan Dhaka arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 v Brothers Union, L 2-3 @ Bashundhara Kings, L 0-1 @ Rahmatgonj MFS, W 2-1 @ Brothers Union.
Arambagh are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Abahani, L 0-2 @ Bangladesh Police, L 0-2 v Mohammedan Dhaka, D 2-2 @ Brothers Union.
Mohammedan Dhaka hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Arambagh 0-2 Mohammedan Dhaka.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
