Carlton Town v Coventry Sphinx: the model read
Carlton Town meet Coventry Sphinx in the Non League Div One - Northern Midlands northern midlands - 42 at Bill Stokeld Stadium, Nottingham, East Midlands. The model makes Carlton Town the most likely outcome at 52%, with the full read 52% CAR, 26% draw, 23% COV.
Carlton Town rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1589 to 1400. Recent form leans Carlton Town, 61% against 26%. Attacking output favors Carlton Town on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 61%, over 2.5 goals around 80%. Draw no bet leans Carlton Town at 69%; double chance reads Carlton Town or draw 77%, Coventry Sphinx or draw 48%.
Carlton Town arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Matlock Town, W 4-1 v Coventry Sphinx, D 1-1 @ Sutton Coldfield Town, W 2-1 @ Bourne Town.
Coventry Sphinx are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Carlton Town, L 0-2 v Long Eaton United, L 1-3 v Sutton Coldfield Town, D 1-1 @ Rugby Borough.
Carlton Town hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Carlton Town 4-1 Coventry Sphinx.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output