Kariobangi Sharks v Sofapaka: the model read
Kariobangi Sharks meet Sofapaka in the FKF Premier League regular season - 34. The model makes Kariobangi Sharks the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 47% KAR, 34% draw, 19% SOF.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Kariobangi Sharks, 50% against 18%. Attacking output favors Kariobangi Sharks on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 14%, over 2.5 goals around 21%. Draw no bet leans Kariobangi Sharks at 71%; double chance reads Kariobangi Sharks or draw 81%, Sofapaka or draw 53%.
Kariobangi Sharks arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 6-0 v Sofapaka, D 1-1 @ Police, D 2-2 v Homeboyz, W 2-0 v Nairobi United.
Sofapaka are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 0-6 @ Kariobangi Sharks, L 1-2 v KCB, D 1-1 v Shabana, L 0-3 @ Posta Rangers FC.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kariobangi Sharks 6-0 Sofapaka.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
