Atlètic Lleida v Formentera: the model read
Atlètic Lleida meet Formentera in the Copa Federacion round of 16 at Camp d'Esports de Lleida, Lleida. The model makes Formentera the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 26% ATL, 32% draw, 42% FOR.
Formentera rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1408. Recent form leans Formentera, 63% against 38%. Attacking output favors Formentera on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 31%, over 2.5 goals around 30%. Draw no bet leans Formentera at 62%; double chance reads Atlètic Lleida or draw 58%, Formentera or draw 74%.
Atlètic Lleida arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Andratx, L 1-2 @ Barcelona B, W 2-0 v Ibiza Islas Pitiusas, L 1-3 @ Girona II.
Formentera are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Llosetense, W 3-1 v Cardassar, L 0-3 @ Manacor, W 1-0 v Mercadal.
Atlètic Lleida hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Atlètic Lleida 6-1 Formentera.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
