Aoiz v Izarra: the model read
Aoiz meet Izarra in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 group 15 - 34 at Estadio San Miguel, Agoitz (Aoiz). The model makes Izarra the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 25% AOI, 30% draw, 45% IZA.
Izarra rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1443. Recent form leans Izarra, 65% against 43%. Attacking output favors Izarra on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 52%. Draw no bet leans Izarra at 64%; double chance reads Aoiz or draw 55%, Izarra or draw 75%.
Aoiz arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Izarra, W 3-1 @ Avance Ezcabarte, D 0-0 @ Bidezarra, W 2-1 v Ardoi.
Izarra are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Pamplona, D 1-1 v Pamplona, W 4-0 v Subiza, L 0-1 @ Subiza.
Izarra hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Aoiz 1-4 Izarra.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
